Warning sign for Dems: 2020 electorate was more conservative than 2016 electorate

Warning sign for Dems: 2020 electorate was more conservative than 2016 electorate
Twitter video, @bgonthescene via @ArtValley818

[Ed. – Surprise! Though Trump may have lost (emphasis on ‘may’), the country still throws up at the notion of a fundamental transformation.]

What the heck just happened? It’s been a crazy election, and ballots are still being counted, but we can get a few ideas from the exit polls.

First, this electorate seems to have been more conservative than the 2016 electorate. In the 2016 exit polls, conservatives outnumbered liberals by 9 percentage points. In the initial 2020 numbers, the margin is 13 points. (To get an apples-to-apples comparison, I’m citing the original 2016 numbers, not the later Pew study of 2016 voters.) Despite this, Joe Biden held his own by connecting with people in the middle. Hillary Clinton lost independents by 4 percentage points; Biden won them by 14 points. He also got 64 percent of moderates, up from Clinton’s 52 percent. Biden won 8 percent of people who said they had voted for Donald Trump in 2016.

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