[Ed. – Slip sliding away.]
I’m not a “polling guy”. If you want expert polling analysis, I recommend my colleague here at Red State, Scott Hounsell. But they are a curiosity for me, and the article from HotAir had some interesting nuggets of polling information.
As reported in the NYT, recent polling shows some potential weakness for Joe Biden in a few key demographic groups when his numbers are compared against the voting results of similar groups in the 2018 midterm elections which produced significant gains for Democrats in the House of Representatives. The Biden campaign has hoped to replicate that electorate turnout in order to flip a few critical states that Clinton lost by narrow margins in 2016, and if Biden’s polling was close to the results in the congressional elections in 2018, he would likely be able to do so comfortably.