Iran now said to be 3.5 months from a nuclear weapon

Iran now said to be 3.5 months from a nuclear weapon
Iranian forces parade missiles past a VIP reviewing stand in 2017. YouTube video

[Ed. – Suddenly, after nearly 20 years of off-and-on monitoring during which no institute or agency ever wanted to estimate anything so precise, the ISIS Institute can now say that the worst-case estimate is as little as 3.5 months.  The truth is, we have never had that level of certainty, but competent experts (like former IAEA expert Ollie Heinonen) have offered a similar level of exactitude as far back as the 2013-2015 timeframe, when the worst-case estimate was as little as six weeks.  It’s really very doubtful that the worst-case estimate has gotten longer — or more exact.]

The United States has evidence that Iran is stockpiling enriched uranium, the key component in a nuclear weapon, in direct violation of international restrictions on Tehran’s use of the fissile material.

Nuclear experts predict that Iran is now just 3.5 months away from the “breakout time,” a measurement of how close the country is to having the technology and materials to construct a nuclear weapon. It also now has the fuel to potentially construct two separate bombs.

The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) disclosed on Friday that Iran has nearly doubled its stockpiles of enriched uranium, generating concerns about the country’s continued progress on a nuclear weapon. Iran granted the IAEA access to several contested nuclear sites that had previously been off limits.

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