Coronavirus shutdown effectiveness — visualized

Coronavirus shutdown effectiveness — visualized
New York City's Times Square is currently a ghost town.

[Ed. – And then there’s this, suggesting shutdowns are unnecessary altogether.]

This is a follow up to my April 12th Let’s Visualize State-By-State Shutdown Effectiveness article. Although it’s only been a week since that post, a lot has changed and we have a lot more data.

The main element I am analyzing here is the effectiveness, or at least the correlation, between how quickly a State ordered Stay-At-Home and the COVID-19 deaths it accumulated in the 3 weeks after presence of coronavirus. This is important because it can help inform how quickly we lift lock downs now as well as how quickly we should consider enacting them in the future.

Intuition may tell you that the faster a State orders a shut down, the fewer deaths it would see, but that is surprisingly not reflected in the correlation analysis.

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There has been some poor analysis out there failing to normalize basic data such as population size.

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