[Ed. – Polls, schmolls. When people go the ballot box, they want to vote for a candidate that stands for something. ‘Replacing the current candidate’ is not something.]
As the Democratic contenders gallop around the backstretch, political handicappers are once again obsessing over the candidates’ crowd size, the enthusiasm of said crowds and the age of the enthusiasts.
Once again, little of this should matter. We’ve been told for months that Elizabeth Warren and, to a lesser extent, Bernie Sanders are exciting crowds in a way Joe Biden does not. … Why, then, does Biden lead them in most polls, usually by double digits?
Perhaps relatively passive Democrats — who greatly outnumber the excited ones — just want to replace Donald Trump. Although several polls suggest that any of the leading Democrats could beat Trump in a national popular vote, they show Biden beating him more easily, especially in Michigan, Wisconsin and Ohio, the swing states considered key to Trump’s Electoral College victory. He’s the safest bet.