How Trump could lose by 5 million votes and still win in 2020

How Trump could lose by 5 million votes and still win in 2020
The Trump rally in Topeka, Oct 2018. GOP video, YouTube

[Ed. – The Dems are damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. If they stick to their socialist agenda, they’ll lose because the country is center-right. If they abandon that agenda, legions of Democratic voters will stay home on Election Day.]

In the wake of President Donald Trump’s tweets suggesting several nonwhite progressive congresswomen “go back” to their countries — three of them were born in the U.S. — it’s tempting for Democrats to believe the comments will backfire with an increasingly diverse electorate and seriously damage his re-election prospects.

But the cold reality for Democrats? The bulk of the nation’s demographic transformation is taking place in states that matter the least in deciding the Electoral College.

Democrats’ worst nightmare came true in November 2016 when Hillary Clinton captured 2.9 million more votes than Donald Trump but he still comfortably prevailed in the Electoral College, 306 to 232. As much as they would like to purge that outcome from memory, Democrats would be unwise to write it off as a fluke: In 2020, it’s possible Trump could win 5 million fewer votes than his opponent — and still win a second term.

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