Hillary Clinton’s vanishing base

Hillary Clinton’s vanishing base

It’s a safe bet that who­ever emerges as the GOP pres­id­en­tial nom­in­ee will have trouble en­er­giz­ing a fac­tion of the party’s loy­al­ists in the gen­er­al elec­tion. Don­ald Trump would be un­ac­cept­able to much of the party’s rank-and-file, Ted Cruz would dis­ap­point Trump fans and es­tab­lish­ment Re­pub­lic­ans alike, and an out­side “white knight” can­did­ate would risk ali­en­at­ing the ma­jor­ity of GOP voters who cast bal­lots for one of the two front-run­ners.

But Hil­lary Clin­ton is fa­cing a ser­i­ous prob­lem with her own party’s base in the on­go­ing primary against Bernie Sanders. She’s be­ing soundly re­jec­ted by mil­len­ni­als, a core ele­ment of Barack Obama’s co­ali­tion, while gen­er­at­ing only mid­dling en­thu­si­asm from His­pan­ics and Afric­an-Amer­ic­ans. Without Obama in the race, Clin­ton ex­pec­ted black voters to once again be a pil­lar of her sup­port. And the more po­lite tone of the Demo­crat­ic cam­paign has turned nas­ti­er in re­cent weeks, with Sanders call­ing Clin­ton “un­qual­i­fied” to be pres­id­ent and Clin­ton’s hus­band re­buk­ing Afric­an-Amer­ic­an pro­test­ers on the cam­paign trail for be­ing ob­li­vi­ous to the crime-fight­ing suc­cesses of his ad­min­is­tra­tion.

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