When it comes to the Iowa caucuses, Admiral Akbar has some sound advice for Donald Trump: “It’s a trap.”
Mr. Trump is not going to win here. Repeat, Mr. Trump is not going to win here. “Hold on a second,” you might say, “Trump is leading the national polls by his biggest margins ever.” Except if you’re gauging how the key early states might shake out based on national media polls, well, you probably still think if you like your current health care plan you can keep it, too.
Just look at the last two cycles.
At this point in the 2008 primary cycle, Rudy Giuliani had a double-digit lead in the Real Clear Politics national polling average just as Mr. Trump does now. But he didn’t win a single state.