Will a Hillary Clinton presidency be a third Obama term?

Will a Hillary Clinton presidency be a third Obama term?

I noted in a March Washington Examiner column that in 2016 presidential pairings, Hillary Clinton, unlike 2014 Democratic Senate and House candidates, runs far ahead of President Obama‘s job approval numbers. In an interesting column today, the pro-Obama, pro-Clinton E. J. Dionne provides some interesting data on that, with help from some previously unpublished figures from a Washington Post poll.

He looks at those who rate Obama negatively but say they would vote for Clinton and finds that such voters are disproportionately whites without college degrees, especially women, and that one-quarter of these Clinton voters say they would vote for Republicans in congressional elections this year.

The Clinton coalition this looks more like the coalition that re-elected Bill Clinton in 1992 (with 43 percent of the popular vote) than the coalition that re-elected Obama in 2012. Hillary Clinton is effectively benefiting from the retrospective popularity of the Bill Clinton presidency while not being as handicapped as current Democratic congressional candidates by the current unpopularity of the Obama presidency.

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