Could Barack Obama’s approval fall as low as George W. Bush’s?

Could Barack Obama’s approval fall as low as George W. Bush’s?

In a new interview with ABC, President Obama concedes that the disastrous rollout of Obamacare has taken a toll on his approval ratings. But he believes the public’s opinion of his work will rise again. “I’ve gone up and down pretty much consistently throughout,” Obama said. “But the good thing about when you’re down is that usually you got nowhere to go but up.”

That certainly sounds comforting for the president and his supporters. But is it true? Actually, there’s no reason Obama’s approval ratings might not continue to slide. In fact, for more than a year, Obama’s ratings have been roughly tracking those of his predecessor, George W. Bush, at the same point in Bush’s presidency. (You can track the ratings together at the Gallup Presidential Approval site.)

It’s impossible to compare Bush’s first-term ratings with Obama because Bush’s approval was skewed so dramatically by the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. Bush’s approval soared to 87 percent in Gallup in October 2001, and then began a long decline. Obama’s presidency began with an impressive peacetime high of 65 percent. But at that point in each man’s presidency, the numbers just can’t be compared.

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