The NBC/Wall Street Journal poll is out. It’s not as big a disaster as you might have expected — everyone should have expected Republicans to take a hit her. We’re also far from an election. But there are some deeper reasons for concern that I’ll get into below.
First of all, with the exception of the generic ballot question, this is a poll of adults, not voters. There’s no reason to be too alarmed at the absolute values of support and opposition. But it’s the trends here that should worry conservatives, because they nearly all point in the wrong direction.
Based on the poll’s key findings, which I summarize below, one cannot but conclude that the strategy is quite unpopular, and that at least up to now, people are not being persuaded by the Republicans’ message.
Obama’s net fav/unfav: +3 Swing
That’s not so bad, right? The number taking a “very negative” view of Obama has risen to 30 percent, up from 26, but most of those probably moved over from “somewhat negative,” which dropped from 16 to 11. In short, these are tiny drops that could easily reflect statistical noise.