Study: Minimum wage hike causing more restaurants to close in San Francisco

Study: Minimum wage hike causing more restaurants to close in San Francisco
Image: Claudio Divizia/Shutterstock

[Ed. – The verdict is pretty much unanimous so far.  Don’t fail to read the last sentence in the excerpt.]

San Francisco’s higher minimum wage is causing an increasing number of restaurants to go out of business even before it is fully phased in, a new study by the Harvard Business School found.

The closings were concentrated among struggling, lower-rated restaurants. The higher minimum also caused fewer new restaurants to open, it found.

“We provide suggestive evidence that higher minimum wage increases overall exit rates among restaurants, where a $1 increase in the minimum wage leads to approximately a 4 to 10 percent increase in the likelihood of exit,” report Dara Lee and Michael Luca, authors of “Survival of the Fittest: The Impact of the Minimum Wage on Firm Exit.”

“The impact on exit is concentrated among lower quality restaurants, which are already closer to the margin of exit. This suggests that the ability of firms to adjust to minimum wage changes could differ depending on firm quality,” the study found. The higher-rated restaurants can adjust, primarily through working their employees harder. …

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