There is no more hoping and dreaming by the GOP establishment that they can grab a big chunk of the Latino vote in 2016.
Building on George W. Bush’s 2004 Latino vote share of 44 percent will have to wait, again.
But not all hope is gone. While most Latinos don’t love Trump as he asserts – let’s be very clear about that – he’ll be likable enough. I think he’ll at least get a quarter of the Latino vote—what Republican Presidential candidate Mitt Romney received. In fact, he may just surpass Romney and flirt with thirty percent.
At first blush it doesn’t make sense that someone who characterizes Mexicans as drug dealers and rapists and who leads supporters to chant about building a nonsensical wall on the U.S.-Mexico border could garner any Latino support.
However there are a couple of interrelated reasons that explain why Trump will get around the same amount of Latino love as the last GOP presidential candidate.