“It’s the Economy, Stupid.” That’s another famous Carville dictum (from Bill Clinton’s 1992 campaign).
It could sum up Trump’s chances, too. Start with Casey’s concern about those towns out “west,” and add not only the well-documented stagnation of America’s middle class but the possibility of another economic slowdown.
Divided Democrats. Sen. Bernie Sanders is determined to carry his crusade through to July’s Democratic convention in Philadelphia and to play the role that another failed candidate, the late Ted Kennedy, played in 1980 in New York: the star of someone else’s show. Kennedy’s dramatic farewell stole the moment from a sitting president, Jimmy Carter, and presaged Carter’s loss to Ronald Reagan.
Republican Weakness. Some Republicans and conservative commentators, such as The New York Times’ David Brooks, are warning Republicans that they face a “Joe McCarthy Moment,” in which they must repudiate Trump or risk the wrath of history’s judgment. And some Republicans are still vowing never to back Trump.