Iowa caucus odds: 1 of these 4 will win

Iowa caucus odds: 1 of these 4 will win
Photo source: Breitbart News

Turns out there is a silver lining to five justices on the U.S. Supreme Court committing what amounts to cultural self-immolation last week — it winnowed the crowded field of 2016 GOP presidential candidates considerably.

After analyzing the historical demographics of the first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses, along with the overall environment on the ground, I’m confident we already know who can win here next February and who cannot.

Given the demographic dominance of evangelicals in the Iowa Caucuses, where they’re about 60 percent of the vote, as well as Iowa Republicans’ documented disdain for activist judges (see Iowa’s historic 2010 judicial retention election), a candidate who responded timidly to last week’s unleashing of the Rainbow Jihad isn’t going to win the Iowa caucuses.

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