What happens if the Supreme Court rules for the plaintiffs in King v. Burwell? The simplest answer is that Republican states get screwed.
You wouldn’t know that from the political debate, which pits Democrats who fear a ruling for the plaintiffs against Republicans who welcome one. But both sides are operating under an outdated model of the politics around Obamacare — one in which the law’s survival remains an open question.
It’s not. Obamacare is here to stay — as even congressional Republicans now realize. And the King v. Burwell case doesn’t threaten the law itself. It threatens Republican states that don’t want to implement the law. Residents in those states will end up paying a huge amount of money to fund a law that delivers no benefits to them and their state — and, in fact, turns their insurance market into a disaster zone.