[Ed. – We’re shocked, shocked.]
[Sean Trende] argues that the supposed 4 million signups for Medicaid in October and November are not net new additions attributable to Obamacare. Trende’s critical point is that the Obamacare proponents assume every Medicaid signup was due to ACA, but that is ridiculous. How did Medicaid get to 60 million members before ACA? How many sign up every month on average? Why are signups in states that did not expand Medicaid about equal to those in states that did?
His analysis suggest that maybe 200,000 of the 4 million signups can be attributed to the law.